Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, in any case?) is independent from winning or losing on any scratch ticket, you treat each event as persistent event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent races. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. So then the probabilities of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets back to back (if that’s what your issue is asking) end up being (2/3)^30 = approximately 0.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 out of 10 million, which comes down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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